Contact Us Register Now

Convened by:

18-20 June 2019

Telford International Centre, UK

Nick Reynard

Nick Reynard

Nick Reynard

Science Area Head - Hydro-climate risks, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Speaking On: Day 3 (22nd March)
  • Evidence and modelling flood risk in a changing world: bridging the gap between models and observations

The flooding experienced in the UK during the winter of 2015/16 underlined our continuing vulnerability to extreme floods and prompted speculation that such events are a result of climate change. Whilst there is growing evidence that such events can be attributed to anthropogenic warming, much of this increased confidence comes from detection and attribution studies using large climate model ensembles. Evidence for long-term changes in the frequency and severity of floods in the UK’s observational record is more difficult to identify, particularly because of the inherent variability in natural systems. Moreover, other factors such as increasing urbanisation and changing land use practices can affect flood risk.

 Uncertainty due to projected climate and environmental change presents a major challenge to flood risk managers who need to build resilience into their plans. Research carried out by the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (CEH) is addressing this through robust, national-scale studies using a variety of approaches including traditional and non-stationary frequency analysis, hydrological modelling and trend analysis using systematic and historical data. The talk will highlight relevant aspects of CEH’s ongoing research programme and will demonstrate how the results will feed into new methods tailored to the needs of the flood risk community. 

Back to all speakers

Flood and Coast 2019RT @pu_cprg: Interested in the #coast ? We will be attending @floodandcoast with a stand and presentation- Check out https://t.co/CQZR0OtHG…

Flood and Coast 2019RT @FCRMResearchEA: Final meeting of the @floodandcoast advisory group in the ministerial conference room at Defra. Dotting i’s and crossin…

Flood and Coast 2019RT @RachelW94091146: @BBCNewsPR Check out @floodandcoast this year! All panels at the conference this year will have mixed gender & we’ll b…

Flood and Coast 2019Day 3 (20 June) of #FloodandCoast19 is Digital Day. World-class speakers sharing latest #FCERM insights. Exhibitors… https://t.co/6nK4AnJI7W

Flood and Coast 2019RT @DefraDigital: Really excited to have just signed up to attend this year's #FloodandCoast19 event in Telford in June - great opportunity…

Flood and Coast 2019RT @ClareDinnisEA: Inspiring the next generation of professionals is one of the best things any industry can do. Not only is #floodandcoast…